Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0547; (P) 1.0580; (R1) 1.0608; More….
EUR/CHF edged higher to 1.0610 but quickly retreated. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Further rally is expected as long as 1.0439 support holds. A medium term bottom should be in place at 1.0298 already. Sustained trading above 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 1.0298 at 1.0623 will raise the chance of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 1.0824 next. However, break of 1.0439 will dampen this bullish view and bring retest of 1.0298 instead.
In the bigger picture, current development suggests that a medium term bottom is formed at 1.0298 on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Rebound from there is still tentatively viewed part of a corrective pattern. That is, larger down trend from 1.2004 (2018) could still extend through 1.0298 to 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. However, sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 1.0673) will argue that the down trend is over, and bring stronger rise back to 1.1149 next.
Source link
