You don’t have to worry about that recession anymore. The White House fixed it.
And by “fixed it” I mean it just changed the definition of a recession.
A recession has long been defined as two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth.
The GDP in the first quarter of 2022 came in at -1.6 percent. At the time, the mainstream generally blew it off, asserting that it was just an outlier.
Now, it’s becoming increasingly clear we’re heading for the second straight negative GDP print. The Atlanta Fed projects another -1.6% decline in Q2. And there is plenty of data up there to back the projection up.
That would mean we’re in a recession now, and we have been all year.
As Peter Schiff said in a podcast, “This should be obvious, but people have been in denial about the weakness in the economy. So, as all this weak economic data continues to come out, more and more of the recession deniers are going to have to throw in the towel and accept reality.”
But apparently, the Biden administration has no plans to accept reality. Instead, it wants to alter reality.
The White House propaganda team is working overtime to change the definition of a recession. If it can convince everybody that two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth isn’t the definition of a recession, it has plausible deniability that the economy is currently in a recession.
There you have it. Problem solved! No recession.
The White House also trotted out Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen to reiterate this point. On NBC’s Meet the Press, she argued that the economy remains generally healthy and that inflation fears are overblown. Chuck Todd directly challenged Grandma Yellen.
If the technical definition is two quarters of contraction, you’re saying that’s not a recession?”
Yellen adroitly parroted the White House talking points.
That’s not the technical definition. There is an organization called the National Bureau of Economic Research that looks at a broad range of data in deciding whether or not there is a recession. And most of the data that they look at right now continues to be strong. I would be amazed if they would declare this period to be a recession, even if it happens to have two quarters of negative growth. We have a very strong labor market. when you are creating almost 400,000 jobs a month, that is not a recession.”
Yellen also told us that we really shouldn’t worry about a little economic slowdown. It’s good for us!
According to the White House, “Secretary Yellen also went further in-depth, explaining that some economic slow-down is healthy right now with such a strong labor market, as the Federal Reserve addresses inflation and we transition to steady and sustainable growth, and discussed the actions the Biden Administration has been taking to lower prices for the American people.” [Emphasis added]
Don’t you feel better now?
As I talked about on the Friday Gold Wrap Podcast last week, words matter. The people who control the language can control the narrative. And the people who control the narrative can shape people’s perception of reality.
If we use the original definition of inflation — an “expansion of the supply of money” — instead of the new definition – rising prices – the culprit becomes clear. Who expands the supply of money? It’s the Fed and the government. So, if you accurately define inflation, you know exactly who’s to blame. But if the government can fool people into believing that an effect of inflation is inflation, they can blame it on whoever, or whatever is raising the prices – Putin, pandemics and apparently millennials.
Now they’re trying the same trick with recessions.
The media will almost certainly gobble this up. But I’m not convinced the average American will be quite as easy to convince. We all know the economy is a wreck. We’re living it.
But that’s the nature of gaslighting. The whole point is to make you question your own sanity and sense of reality.
It’s creepy and Orwellian But that’s what government does.
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