Market Outlook
Elmer Fed? US PCE Price Growth Hits 5.2%, Highest Since Mid-1983 (Taylor Rule Suggests Target Rate of 13.35%) – Confounded Interest
![](https://analisagold.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/inflatiisnsnsns-736x470.png)
And this doesn’t include the inflation in prices caused by the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Yet.
US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index rose by 5.2% in January, the fastest rate since mid-1983.
![](https://confoundedinterestnet.files.wordpress.com/2022/02/inflatiisnsnsns.png?w=736)
With CPI inflation at 7.5% YoY, the Taylor Rule suggests a Fed Funds target rate of 13.35%, higher than the current rate of 0.25%. Overstimulated much??
![](https://confoundedinterestnet.files.wordpress.com/2022/02/pcean.png?w=736)
Let’s see if The Fed actually goes hunting inflation.
![](https://confoundedinterestnet.files.wordpress.com/2022/02/fmb7cefxmaa0-ye.png?w=764)
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