Market Outlook
Fear The Talking Fed! Fed Raises Target Rate To 50 BPS, Still 11.50% Below The Taylor Rule (Dow Drops, 10Y Treasury Yield SPIKES) – Confounded Interest
So, The Federal Reserve raised their target rate by … as expected … 25 basis points to 50 basis points.
The Taylor Rule suggests that the target rate should be 11.96%. So, Powell and The Gang are getting closer! /sarc
The short-term reaction to the measly rate increase? The Dow declined (but still in positive territory for the day) and the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield spiked to 2.23%.
On Powell’s surrender to inflation, the US Treasury 10Y-2Y curve continued to flatten.
You can see The Fed’s sloth-like response to blood-curdling inflation in the lower right-hand part of the chart.
Here is what The Fed had to say. Kind of “We can’t fight inflation because Putin is invading Ukraine.”
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