(Bloomberg) — U.S. futures slipped and stocks extended declines amid concerns over the Federal Reserve’s imminent rate liftoff. Bonds rose as Russia-Ukraine tensions exacerbated the risk-off mood.
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U.S. equity futures reversed early gains, dimming hopes of some respite after one of the worst stretches for global shares last week since the pandemic began. Contracts on the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 turned lower after climbing as much as 1% earlier. The Treasury 10-year yield dipped along with rates on most European bonds. A dollar gauge ticked higher.
Tech stocks were among the largest decliners as the Stoxx Europe 600 index dropped more than 2%, on track for the biggest two-day slump since June. The U.S. ordered families of diplomats out of Ukraine, citing the risk of a conflict. Russia’s benchmark stock index tumbled as much as 6.8%. The Swiss franc rose to the highest level against the euro in more than six years as investors sought havens.
The Fed on Wednesday is expected to signal a March hike in interest rates and balance-sheet reduction later this year to help fight inflation. Ebbing stimulus is forcing a rethink about the economic and market outlook.
Aside from the Fed and Ukraine, earnings updates from titans such as Apple Inc. will shape sentiment too in the days to come following an uneven start to the reporting season. Tech stocks have borne the brunt of an equity selloff this year, while some less richly valued parts of the market have held up better.
There is “likely a longer term rotation toward value stocks measured in quarters, not weeks” unfolding, Julian Emanuel, chief equity and quantitative strategist at Evercore ISI, wrote in a note. “Investors should retain a balanced view, staying patient in committing new capital to equities.”
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. economists said they see a risk the Fed will tighten monetary policy more aggressively this year than the Wall Street bank now anticipates.
“A March lift-off and four hikes in 2022 are already fully priced in,” said Xavier Chapard, global macro strategist at Credit Agricole CIB. “But we expect Chair Powell to remain hawkish and not offer any pushback. Not supportive for risky assets.”
In the volatile cryptocurrency sector, bruised Bitcoin fell below $34,000, extending a plunge over the past three days. Digital coins have shed more than $1 trillion in value since a November high.
For more market analysis, read our MLIV blog.
What to watch this week:
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Earnings reports are due from companies including Apple, Boeing, GE, 3M, Deutsche Bank, Microsoft, Samsung Electronics and Tesla
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PMIs for Eurozone, France, Germany, U.K. and Australia, Monday
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Australia CPI, Tuesday
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Federal Reserve rate decision and Chair Jerome Powell news conference, Wednesday
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Bank of Canada interest-rate decision, Wednesday
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EIA crude oil inventory report, Wednesday
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U.S. fourth-quarter GDP growth data, plus U.S. initial jobless claims and durable goods, Thursday
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U.S. consumer income, University of Michigan consumer sentiment figures, Friday
Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
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Futures on the S&P 500 fell 0.2% as of 6:41 a.m. New York time
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Futures on the Nasdaq 100 fell 0.3%
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Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.1%
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The Stoxx Europe 600 fell 2.1%
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The MSCI World index fell 0.6%
Currencies
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The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.3%
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The euro fell 0.3% to $1.1313
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The British pound fell 0.4% to $1.3499
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The Japanese yen was little changed at 113.73 per dollar
Bonds
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The yield on 10-year Treasuries declined three basis points to 1.73%
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Germany’s 10-year yield declined three basis points to -0.09%
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Britain’s 10-year yield declined four basis points to 1.14%
Commodities
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West Texas Intermediate crude fell 0.3% to $84.88 a barrel
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Gold futures rose 0.3% to $1,840.10 an ounce
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