Technical Analysis

Trend Remains Strong Even as Shadows Persist

The NASDAD achieved a solid short-term high yesterday, but began to reverse lower as nervous sentiment stirred trading results in the equity index.

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A high of nearly 16,668.00 was attained in trading yesterday for the NASDAQ 100, but a reversal lower towards the end of the day was exhibited, perhaps as a result of nervous sentiment being stirred by data regarding coronavirus in the US.  As of this morning’s trading, the index is near the 16.555.0 mark and has actually gained a bit on the futures market after touching a low of approximately 16.475.0 late yesterday.

The long-term trend of the NASDAQ and its major index counterparts remain like a train often headed in one direction. Certainly there are nervous traders who have skeptical opinions about the ability of the NASDAQ to continue an upwards path without suffering a sizeable setback at some duration. However, betting against a sudden reversal lower remains a problematic wager. Short-term technical traders can certainly sell the NASDAQ based on their perceptions, but it is dangerous.

Traders also need to strongly consider that holiday trading is ruling the indices currently, including the NASDAQ 100. Volumes will remain lower than normal until after the New Year has begun, and even early next week transactions should be anticipated to be rather weak. However, this doesn’t mean results will be boring, and traders should expect volatility near term. As numbers are reported regarding coronavirus in the US and the higher than expected infection rate, conditions could become rather turbulent as traders participating in the market react to ‘noise’ short term.

Speculators should expect some volatility today as reactions continue to be demonstrated via nervous sentiment. However, traders with a strong heart may look for reversals lower which come within sight of support levels as an opportunity to look for upside action. The NASDAQ was trading near an all-time high of nearly 16,775.0 on the 22nd of November and the index remains within shouting distance of this level.

Short-term conditions may remain choppy for the NASDAQ 100. Traders who have the courage to sell the index when they feel it has been overbought are free to wager, but they should use their stop loss orders with discipline. Speculators who believe the NASDAQ still has room to traverse higher in the near term may want to practice caution as they wager on higher moves, but their conviction about the upwards trend remaining intact may prove to be correct.

NASDAQ Short-Term Outlook

Current Resistance: 16,590.0

Current Support: 16498.0

High Target: 16,650.0

Low Target: 16319.0

NASDAQ 100 Index

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